Sarriana v Marino de Luanco Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSarriana to win46% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · fair 1.82

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.44

Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sarriana welcome Marino de Luanco to Estadio Municipal De Ribela for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 19 April (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Sarriana, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Numancia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Marino de Luanco, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Coruxo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarriana 1.4 xG, Marino de Luanco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sarriana 46%, draw 26%, Marino de Luanco 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarriana 1–0 Marino de Luanco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarriana46%fair 2.17 · @2.25

Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.00

Marino de Luanco28%fair 3.61 · @3.00

2.36Expected goals

1.43Sarriana xG

0.94Marino de Luanco xG

45%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–113%

2–010%

0–09%

2–19%

0–19%

From our goals model: Sarriana 1.4 – 0.9 Marino de Luanco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sarriana to win	46%	2.17	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win	74%	1.35	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	55%	1.82	–
Draw no bet	Sarriana (draw no bet)	62%	1.60	–
Asian handicap	Marino de Luanco +1 (Asian handicap)	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	58%	1.72	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Sarriana to score first	55%	1.83	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sarriana / FT Sarriana	29%	3.49	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	13%	7.44	–

Sarriana – last 5

DWWLL

29 Mar	@ Numancia	2–2	D
15 Mar	vs Salamanca UDS	1–0	W
1 Mar	vs UD Ourense	3–1	W
22 Feb	@ Coruxo	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Gimnástica Segoviana	1–2	L

1.4Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Marino de Luanco – last 6

WDDLDD

5 Apr	@ Coruxo	2–1	W
29 Mar	vs UD Ourense	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Burgos Promesas	0–0	D
4 Mar	@ Gimnástica Segoviana	2–3	L
22 Feb	@ Salamanca UDS	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Deportivo La Coruña II	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Eibar II	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	+6	12
12	Racing Santander II	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Atlético Astorga	10	2	1	7	-6	7
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	-12	6

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-3

-3

-4

-8

-4

-6

-6

-6

Gimnástica Torrelavega

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

On our numbers Sarriana have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Marino de Luanco 28%.

How many goals will there be in Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

Our predicted score is Sarriana 1–0 Marino de Luanco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco?

Sarriana vs Marino de Luanco (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal De Ribela.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sarriana v Marino de Luanco: numbers & prediction

Sarriana