Real Jaén 43%Draw 27%Águilas 30%Expected goals 1.36 – 0.92
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1
Value bet: Real Jaén to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Jaén to win ✓43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Real Jaén vs Águilas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Águilas travel to face Real Jaén on Sunday 1 March in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4, with Nuevo Estadio La Victoria the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Real Jaén, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Xerez Deportivo, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Águilas, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Recreativo Huelva, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Real Jaén, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Águilas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Jaén 1.4 xG, Águilas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 35%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Jaén 43%, draw 27%, Águilas 30%.
Price worth noting: Real Jaén to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Jaén 1–0 Águilas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Jaén43%fair 2.31 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.88
Águilas30%fair 3.34 · @2.70
2.28Expected goals
1.36Real Jaén xG
0.92Águilas xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.4 – 0.9 Águilas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win✓
43%
2.31
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Real Jaén (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Águilas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Real Jaén to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén✓
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.16
–
Recent results
Real Jaén – last 3
WWW
25 Feb
@ Xerez Deportivo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Melilla
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Deportiva Minera
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Águilas – last 3
DWW
25 Feb
vs Recreativo Huelva
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Málaga II
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ La Unión Atlético
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Águilas.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Águilas?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Águilas 30%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Águilas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Águilas?
Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–0 Águilas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real Jaén vs Águilas?
Real Jaén vs Águilas (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Antoniano0
Xerez Deportivo0
Extremadura 19243
Lorca Deportiva0
Ucam Murcia3
Melilla2
Recreativo Huelva1
Deportiva Minera0
La Unión Atlético1
Almería II0
Puente Genil1
Estepona0
Xerez1
Yeclano0