Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPuente Genil to win ✓38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.59
Puente Genil vs Estepona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Puente Genil against Estepona at Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Puente Genil are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Estepona are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puente Genil 1.2 xG, Estepona 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puente Genil 38%, draw 27%, Estepona 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puente Genil 1–1 Estepona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puente Genil38%fair 2.64 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.90
Estepona35%fair 2.88 · @2.80
2.33Expected goals
1.20Puente Genil xG
1.13Estepona xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Puente Genil 1.2 – 1.1 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puente Genil to win✓
38%
2.64
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Puente Genil (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Estepona +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Puente Genil to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puente Genil / FT Puente Genil✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.59
–
Recent results
Puente Genil – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Almería II
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Xerez Deportivo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estepona – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Ucam Murcia
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puente Genil and Estepona.
What is the prediction for Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Puente Genil vs Estepona?
On our numbers Puente Genil have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Estepona 35%.
How many goals will there be in Puente Genil vs Estepona?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Our predicted score is Puente Genil 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Puente Genil vs Estepona?
Puente Genil vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Xerez Deportivo0
Extremadura 19243
Lorca Deportiva0
Ucam Murcia3
Melilla2
Deportiva Minera0
La Unión Atlético1
Almería II0
Real Jaén3
Águilas1
Yeclano0