Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUcam Murcia to win ✓54% · @1.73
Double chanceUcam Murcia or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Ucam Murcia vs Melilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Ucam Murcia v Melilla in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4, played at Estadio de La Condomina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ucam Murcia 1.6 xG, Melilla 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ucam Murcia 54%, draw 26%, Melilla 20%.
Lower-risk option: Ucam Murcia or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ucam Murcia to win (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ucam Murcia 1–0 Melilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ucam Murcia54%fair 1.86 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Melilla20%fair 4.95 · @4.80
2.60Expected goals
1.61Ucam Murcia xG
0.99Melilla xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ucam Murcia 1.6 – 1.0 Melilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Double chance
Ucam Murcia or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Ucam Murcia (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Melilla +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Ucam Murcia to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✓
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Ucam Murcia – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Estepona
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Almería II
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Melilla – last 1
L
22 Feb
vs Real Jaén
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ucam Murcia and Melilla.
What is the prediction for Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
Our pick is Ucam Murcia to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
On our numbers Ucam Murcia have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Melilla 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
Our predicted score is Ucam Murcia 1–0 Melilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ucam Murcia vs Melilla?
Ucam Murcia vs Melilla (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Antoniano0
Xerez Deportivo0
Extremadura 19243
Lorca Deportiva0
Recreativo Huelva1
Deportiva Minera0
La Unión Atlético1
Almería II0
Real Jaén3
Águilas1
Puente Genil1
Estepona0
Xerez1
Yeclano0