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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Jaén v Puente Genil: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 4 · Spain · Nuevo Estadio La Victoria

Real Jaén

WDWWW
2–0
–

Puente Genil

DWLLL
Real Jaén 58%Draw 26%Puente Genil 17% Expected goals 1.48 – 0.76
58%
Betarazi pick

Real Jaén to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.50

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultReal Jaén to win58% · @1.50
Double chanceReal Jaén or draw83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.29

Real Jaén vs Puente Genil: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Real Jaén against Puente Genil at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Real Jaén, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Yeclano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Puente Genil, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportiva Minera, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Real Jaén, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Puente Genil.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Jaén 1.5 xG, Puente Genil 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Jaén 58%, draw 26%, Puente Genil 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Jaén to win (58%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Jaén 1–0 Puente Genil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Jaén58%fair 1.74 · @1.50
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
Puente Genil17%fair 5.97 · @6.00
2.24Expected goals
1.48Real Jaén xG
0.76Puente Genil xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.5 – 0.8 Puente Genil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Jaén to win58%1.741.50
Double chanceReal Jaén or draw83%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.972.20 ▲
Draw no betReal Jaén (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapPuente Genil +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals92%1.08–
First team to scoreReal Jaén to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.29–

Recent results

Real Jaén – last 6

WDWWWW
15 Marvs Yeclano1–0W
8 Mar@ Linares Deportivo1–1D
1 Marvs Águilas3–1W
25 Feb@ Xerez Deportivo3–1W
22 Feb@ Melilla1–0W
15 Febvs Deportiva Minera2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Puente Genil – last 6

DWLLLW
12 Aprvs Deportiva Minera1–1D
5 Apr@ Xerez1–0W
28 Marvs Yeclano0–1L
22 Mar@ Linares Deportivo0–1L
8 Mar@ Águilas1–3L
1 Marvs Estepona1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Puente Genil.

Real Jaén vs Puente Genil head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Recreativo Huelva10631+1321
2Don Benito10622+520
3Ciudad de Lucena10541+719
4Badajoz10451+317
5Real Betis II9432+515
6Xerez10433+515
7Mijas Las Lagunas10361+415
8Estepona10433+315
9Atlético Central10505-215
10Sevilla Atletico10352+214
11Linares Deportivo10352014
12Puente Genil10334+112
13Sanluqueño10244-310
14Tenerife II9315-310
15Marbella10244-310
16Antoniano10136-96
17Tamaraceite10208-156
18Las Palmas II10127-135

More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions

League hub
– Recreativo Huelva1 Melilla0 151%1.64X27%3.20221%5.10 1.4–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 60%@1.50
FT Deportiva Minera2 Xerez Deportivo1 157%1.57X27%3.35216%5.25 1.5–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 60%@1.55 ✗
FT La Unión Atlético4 Ucam Murcia1 134%2.95X25%3.10241%2.20 1.4–1.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 51%@1.60 ✗
– Xerez0 Extremadura 19240 138%2.35X28%2.88234%3.00 1.2–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.50
– Yeclano0 Almería II0 158%1.25X25%4.75217%12.00 1.2–0.7xG 1Yeclano to win 58%@1.25
– Águilas Lorca Deportiva 154%1.44X25%3.80221%6.50 1.3–0.9xG 1Águilas to win 54%@1.44

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?

Our pick is Real Jaén to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?

On our numbers Real Jaén have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Puente Genil 17%.

How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?

Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–0 Puente Genil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?

Real Jaén vs Puente Genil (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.