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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Getafe II v Conquense: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Ciudad Deportiva Fernando Santos de la Parra

Conquense

Getafe II 39%Draw 26%Conquense 34% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.32

56%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

4/10Rating

1.48Odds

Value bet: Conquense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGetafe II to win ✗39% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Getafe II vs Conquense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Getafe II welcome Conquense to Ciudad Deportiva Fernando Santos de la Parra for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 22 February (11:30 WAT). In the table, Getafe II are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Conquense are 4th (among the top four) with 18.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Getafe II 1.3 xG, Conquense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Getafe II 39%, draw 26%, Conquense 34%.
Price worth noting: Conquense to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Getafe II 1–1 Conquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Getafe II39%fair 2.55 · @2.15

Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.90

Conquense34%fair 2.92 · @3.20

2.62Expected goals

1.30Getafe II xG

1.32Conquense xG

49%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Getafe II 1.3 – 1.3 Conquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Getafe II	Conquense
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average	-3%	+37%
Goals conceded vs average	+3%	-14%
Our expected goals here	1.41	1.65

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Getafe II to win ✗	39%	2.55	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	74%	1.36	1.28
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.97	–
Draw no bet	Getafe II (draw no bet)	53%	1.87	–
Asian handicap	Getafe II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.14	–
First team to score	Conquense to score first	47%	2.14	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Conquense / FT Conquense ✗	22%	4.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	9%	10.58	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Getafe II and Conquense.

Getafe II vs Conquense head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub

Intercity2

Fuenlabrada1 150%1.85X26%3.10223%3.85 1.5–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.65 ✗

Socuéllamos2

Elche II5 146%2.05X26%2.90229%3.50 1.6–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 54%@1.48 ✗

Tenerife II1

Rayo Majadahonda3 136%2.80X26%2.95238%2.38 1.4–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 53%@1.60 ✗

Las Palmas II2

Rayo Vallecano II0 164%1.36X21%4.20215%6.25 1.9–0.8xG 1Las Palmas II to win 64%@1.36 ✓

Orihuela4

Navalcarnero0 144%2.15X27%2.80229%3.40 1.5–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.00 ✗

–

Real Madrid III2

RSD Alcalá2 141%2.30X30%2.90229%3.00 1.2–0.9xG 1XReal Madrid III or draw 71%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Getafe II vs Conquense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Getafe II vs Conquense?

On our numbers Getafe II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Conquense 34%.

How many goals will there be in Getafe II vs Conquense?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Getafe II vs Conquense?

Our predicted score is Getafe II 1–1 Conquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Getafe II vs Conquense?

Getafe II vs Conquense (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva Fernando Santos de la Parra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.