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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Madrid III v RSD Alcalá: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3

Real Madrid III

L
2–2
–

RSD Alcalá

L
Real Madrid III 41%Draw 30%RSD Alcalá 29% Expected goals 1.15 – 0.86
71%
Betarazi pick

Real Madrid III or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.33

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Madrid III to win41% · @2.30
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals67% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 13.11

Real Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Real Madrid III against RSD Alcalá at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Real Madrid III are 11th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; RSD Alcalá are 13th (lower half) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid III 1.2 xG, RSD Alcalá 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid III 41%, draw 30%, RSD Alcalá 29%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Madrid III or draw (71%) at 1.33.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Madrid III or draw (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid III 1–0 RSD Alcalá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Madrid III41%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.90
RSD Alcalá29%fair 3.44 · @3.00
2.01Expected goals
1.15Real Madrid III xG
0.86RSD Alcalá xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–013%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Real Madrid III 1.2 – 0.9 RSD Alcalá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real Madrid IIIRSD Alcalá
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average-38%+1%
Goals conceded vs average-43%-5%
Our expected goals here1.000.67

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Madrid III to win41%2.472.30
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw71%1.411.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.981.95
Draw no betReal Madrid III (draw no bet)58%1.72–
Asian handicapRSD Alcalá +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals67%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals95%1.06–
First team to scoreReal Madrid III to score first50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Madrid III / FT Real Madrid III24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%13.11–

Recent results

Real Madrid III – last 1

L
15 Feb@ Socuéllamos1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

RSD Alcalá – last 1

L
15 Febvs Orihuela0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid III and RSD Alcalá.

Real Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub
FT Getafe II1 Conquense1 139%2.15X26%2.90234%3.20 1.3–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.48 ✓
FT Intercity2 Fuenlabrada1 150%1.85X26%3.10223%3.85 1.5–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.65 ✗
FT Socuéllamos2 Elche II5 146%2.05X26%2.90229%3.50 1.6–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 54%@1.48 ✗
FT Tenerife II1 Rayo Majadahonda3 136%2.80X26%2.95238%2.38 1.4–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 53%@1.60 ✗
FT Las Palmas II2 Rayo Vallecano II0 164%1.36X21%4.20215%6.25 1.9–0.8xG 1Las Palmas II to win 64%@1.36 ✓
FT Orihuela4 Navalcarnero0 144%2.15X27%2.80229%3.40 1.5–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.00 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá?

Our pick is Real Madrid III or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Real Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá?

On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 30% and RSD Alcalá 29%.

How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá?

Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 1–0 RSD Alcalá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Real Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá?

Real Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.