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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orihuela v Navalcarnero: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Estadio Municipal Los Arcos

Navalcarnero

Orihuela 44%Draw 27%Navalcarnero 29% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.23

57%

Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating

2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultOrihuela to win ✓44% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Orihuela vs Navalcarnero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Orihuela v Navalcarnero in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, played at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orihuela 1.5 xG, Navalcarnero 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Orihuela 44%, draw 27%, Navalcarnero 29%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orihuela 1–1 Navalcarnero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orihuela44%fair 2.29 · @2.15

Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.80

Navalcarnero29%fair 3.41 · @3.40

2.77Expected goals

1.54Orihuela xG

1.23Navalcarnero xG

57%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

2–07%

1–27%

From our goals model: Orihuela 1.5 – 1.2 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Orihuela	Navalcarnero
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average	+9%	+20%
Goals conceded vs average	-6%	-9%
Our expected goals here	1.66	1.32

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Orihuela to win ✓	44%	2.29	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.75	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Orihuela (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.67	–
Asian handicap	Navalcarnero +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.91	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
First team to score	Orihuela to score first ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela ✓	27%	3.76	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.93	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Navalcarnero.

Orihuela vs Navalcarnero head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub

Getafe II1

Conquense1 139%2.15X26%2.90234%3.20 1.3–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.48 ✓

Intercity2

Fuenlabrada1 150%1.85X26%3.10223%3.85 1.5–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.65 ✗

Socuéllamos2

Elche II5 146%2.05X26%2.90229%3.50 1.6–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 54%@1.48 ✗

Tenerife II1

Rayo Majadahonda3 136%2.80X26%2.95238%2.38 1.4–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 53%@1.60 ✗

Las Palmas II2

Rayo Vallecano II0 164%1.36X21%4.20215%6.25 1.9–0.8xG 1Las Palmas II to win 64%@1.36 ✓

–

Real Madrid III2

RSD Alcalá2 141%2.30X30%2.90229%3.00 1.2–0.9xG 1XReal Madrid III or draw 71%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?

On our numbers Orihuela have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Navalcarnero 29%.

How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?

Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?

Orihuela vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.