Derby County U21 25%Draw 19%Manchester City U21 55%Expected goals 2.06 – 2.64
60%
Betarazi pick
Over 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester City U21 to win ✗55% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.31
Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Premier League 2 Division One brings Derby County U21 against Manchester City U21 at The Proctor Cars Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Derby County U21 are 18th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Manchester City U21 are 22nd (lower half) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Derby County U21, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Middlesbrough U21, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Manchester City U21, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Birmingham City U21, away. The attack is flying at 4.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Manchester City U21, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Derby County U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derby County U21 2.1 xG, Manchester City U21 2.6 xG – a total near 4.7. That is an open game on paper: 85% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derby County U21 25%, draw 19%, Manchester City U21 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derby County U21 2–2 Manchester City U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derby County U2125%fair 3.94 · @4.60
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.50
Manchester City U2155%fair 1.81 · @1.48
4.70Expected goals
2.06Derby County U21 xG
2.64Manchester City U21 xG
65%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
1–27%
2–36%
1–36%
2–15%
1–15%
From our goals model: Derby County U21 2.1 – 2.6 Manchester City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City U21 to win✗
55%
1.81
1.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
–
Draw no bet
Manchester City U21 (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Derby County U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
First team to score
Manchester City U21 to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Manchester City U21 ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City U21 / FT Manchester City U21✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
15.31
–
Recent results
Derby County U21 – last 4
WWLD
20 Mar
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs West Ham United U21
4–2
W
2 Mar
@ West Bromwich Albion U21
2–4
L
23 Feb
@ Burnley U21
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Manchester City U21 – last 5
WWWWW
20 Mar
@ Birmingham City U21
5–1
W
16 Mar
vs Liverpool U21
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Aston Villa U21
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Nottingham Forest U21
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Wolves U21
6–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derby County U21 and Manchester City U21.
What is the prediction for Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
On our numbers Derby County U21 have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manchester City U21 55%.
How many goals will there be in Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
Our predicted score is Derby County U21 2–2 Manchester City U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at The Proctor Cars Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
