Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 February the Premier League 2 Division One brings Burnley U21 against Derby County U21 at Lancashire County Ground. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Burnley U21 are 27th, lower half, on 4 points after 7 matches; Derby County U21 are 18th (lower half) with 8.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burnley U21 1.9 xG, Derby County U21 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burnley U21 41%, draw 22%, Derby County U21 37%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burnley U21 1–1 Derby County U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burnley U2141%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.60
Derby County U2137%fair 2.71 · @2.62
3.57Expected goals
1.86Burnley U21 xG
1.71Derby County U21 xG
70%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: Burnley U21 1.9 – 1.7 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley U21 to win✗
41%
2.46
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Draw no bet
Burnley U21 (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Derby County U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Burnley U21 to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley U21 / FT Burnley U21✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.03
–
Recent results
Burnley U21 – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ Everton U21
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Derby County U21
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley U21 and Derby County U21.
What is the prediction for Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
On our numbers Burnley U21 have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derby County U21 37%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our predicted score is Burnley U21 1–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Lancashire County Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
