Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultMiddlesbrough U21 to win ✗50% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.60
Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 20 March: Derby County U21 v Middlesbrough U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One, played at The Proctor Cars Stadium. In the table, Derby County U21 are 18th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Middlesbrough U21 are 29th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Current form
Derby County U21, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over West Ham United U21, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Middlesbrough U21, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Stoke City U21, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derby County U21 1.8 xG, Middlesbrough U21 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derby County U21 28%, draw 22%, Middlesbrough U21 50%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derby County U21 1–2 Middlesbrough U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derby County U2128%fair 3.57 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.75
Middlesbrough U2150%fair 1.98 · @1.75
4.02Expected goals
1.81Derby County U21 xG
2.21Middlesbrough U21 xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Derby County U21 1.8 – 2.2 Middlesbrough U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough U21 to win✗
50%
1.98
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Draw no bet
Middlesbrough U21 (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Derby County U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
First team to score
Middlesbrough U21 to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Middlesbrough U21 ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough U21 / FT Middlesbrough U21✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.60
–
Recent results
Derby County U21 – last 3
WLD
6 Mar
vs West Ham United U21
4–2
W
2 Mar
@ West Bromwich Albion U21
2–4
L
23 Feb
@ Burnley U21
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Middlesbrough U21 – last 5
WWLLW
13 Mar
vs Stoke City U21
6–1
W
6 Mar
@ Tottenham Hotspur U21
3–1
W
2 Mar
vs Birmingham City U21
1–4
L
20 Feb
@ Southampton U21
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Nottingham Forest U21
1–0
W
2.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derby County U21 and Middlesbrough U21.
What is the prediction for Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
On our numbers Derby County U21 have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough U21 50%.
How many goals will there be in Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
Our predicted score is Derby County U21 1–2 Middlesbrough U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at The Proctor Cars Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
