Value bet: Sunderland U21 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSunderland U21 to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.43
Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sunderland U21 welcome Arsenal U21 to Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground for a Premier League 2 Division One fixture on Monday 23 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Sunderland U21 are 11th, upper half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Arsenal U21 are 21st (lower half) with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sunderland U21, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Leeds United U21, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Arsenal U21, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Leicester City U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sunderland U21, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.4 for Arsenal U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland U21 2.2 xG, Arsenal U21 1.8 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland U21 43%, draw 21%, Arsenal U21 35%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Sunderland U21 to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland U21 2–1 Arsenal U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sunderland U2143%fair 2.30 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.60
Arsenal U2135%fair 2.83 · @2.20
3.97Expected goals
2.19Sunderland U21 xG
1.78Arsenal U21 xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Sunderland U21 2.2 – 1.8 Arsenal U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunderland U21 to win✓
43%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Draw no bet
Sunderland U21 (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
First team to score
Sunderland U21 to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Sunderland U21 ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunderland U21 / FT Sunderland U21✓
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.43
–
Recent results
Sunderland U21 – last 4
WWWW
9 Mar
vs Leeds United U21
5–2
W
6 Mar
vs Watford U21
3–1
W
2 Mar
@ Crystal Palace U21
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Everton U21
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Arsenal U21 – last 5
LDLWW
13 Mar
vs Leicester City U21
1–5
L
6 Mar
@ Norwich City U21
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Ipswich Town U21
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Reading U21
4–1
W
13 Feb
vs Newcastle United U21
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland U21 and Arsenal U21.
What is the prediction for Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21?
On our numbers Sunderland U21 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arsenal U21 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21?
Our predicted score is Sunderland U21 2–1 Arsenal U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21?
Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
