Renate welcome Novara to Mino Favini for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Saturday 28 March (17:30 WAT). In the table, Renate are 17th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Novara are 14th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Renate, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Virtus Verona, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Novara, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Alcione, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Novara, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Renate.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Renate 1.3 xG, Novara 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Renate 41%, draw 28%, Novara 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renate 1–1 Novara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Renate41%fair 2.41 · @2.38
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.80
Novara31%fair 3.23 · @2.90
2.36Expected goals
1.34Renate xG
1.02Novara xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Renate 1.3 – 1.0 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Renate
Novara
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+13%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.54
1.02
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renate to win
41%
2.41
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Renate (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Novara +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Renate to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renate / FT Renate
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Renate – last 3
DWL
15 Mar
@ Virtus Verona
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Lecco
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Cittadella
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Novara – last 6
WDWDWW
22 Mar
vs Alcione
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Lecco
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Virtus Verona
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Giana Erminio
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Triestina
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renate and Novara.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Renate vs Novara?
On our numbers Renate have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Novara 31%.
How many goals will there be in Renate vs Novara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renate vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Renate 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Renate vs Novara?
Renate vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Mino Favini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Triestina
Virtus Verona
Pro Patria