Pergolettese 50%Draw 27%Pro Patria 24%Expected goals 1.49 – 1.07
54%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 2.00
4/10Rating
2.00Odds
Picks by market
ResultPergolettese to win50% · @1.83
Double chancePergolettese or draw76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.88
Pergolettese vs Pro Patria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pergolettese welcome Pro Patria to Giuseppe Voltini for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Saturday 28 March (17:30 WAT).
Current form
Pergolettese, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over PRO Vercelli, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Pro Patria, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lecco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pergolettese, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.2 for Pro Patria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pergolettese 1.5 xG, Pro Patria 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pergolettese 50%, draw 27%, Pro Patria 24%.
Lower-risk option: Pergolettese or draw (76%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pergolettese 1–1 Pro Patria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pergolettese50%fair 2.02 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.90
Pro Patria24%fair 4.21 · @4.20
2.56Expected goals
1.49Pergolettese xG
1.07Pro Patria xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pergolettese 1.5 – 1.1 Pro Patria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pergolettese
Pro Patria
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
-2%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.46
1.21
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pergolettese to win
50%
2.02
1.83
Double chance
Pergolettese or draw
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Pergolettese (draw no bet)
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Pro Patria +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Pergolettese to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pergolettese / FT Pergolettese
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Pergolettese – last 3
WWW
3 Mar
vs PRO Vercelli
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Triestina
2–0
W
16 Feb
vs Union Brescia
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pro Patria – last 5
LLDLL
22 Mar
vs Lecco
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Lumezzane
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Ospitaletto
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Union Brescia
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Trento
0–2
L
0.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pergolettese and Pro Patria.
What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
On our numbers Pergolettese have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pro Patria 24%.
How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
Our predicted score is Pergolettese 1–1 Pro Patria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pergolettese vs Pro Patria?
Pergolettese vs Pro Patria (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Triestina
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