Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlbinoleffe to win ✗38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Albinoleffe travel to face Lumezzane on Saturday 28 March in the Serie C Girone A, with Tullio Saleri the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Lumezzane are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Albinoleffe are 9th (upper half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lumezzane, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pro Patria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Albinoleffe, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Virtus Verona, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lumezzane 1.2 xG, Albinoleffe 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lumezzane 35%, draw 28%, Albinoleffe 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lumezzane 1–1 Albinoleffe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lumezzane35%fair 2.89 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.80
Albinoleffe38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
2.47Expected goals
1.16Lumezzane xG
1.31Albinoleffe xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.2 – 1.3 Albinoleffe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lumezzane
Albinoleffe
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
-12%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.19
1.49
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albinoleffe to win✗
38%
2.66
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Albinoleffe (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Lumezzane +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Albinoleffe to score first
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Lumezzane – last 4
WLWW
15 Mar
vs Pro Patria
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
3–0
W
15 Feb
vs Giana Erminio
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Albinoleffe – last 4
WWDW
20 Mar
@ Virtus Verona
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Union Brescia
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Lecco
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lumezzane and Albinoleffe.
What is the prediction for Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
On our numbers Lumezzane have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Albinoleffe 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
Our predicted score is Lumezzane 1–1 Albinoleffe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Triestina
Virtus Verona
Pro Patria