Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLivorno to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceLivorno or draw ✗71% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Livorno vs Pianese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Livorno welcome Pianese to Stadio Armando Picchi for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Sunday 15 February (14:30 WAT). In the table, Livorno are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Pianese are 16th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livorno 1.2 xG, Pianese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livorno 42%, draw 29%, Pianese 29%.
Lower-risk option: Livorno or draw (71%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livorno 1–0 Pianese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livorno42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @2.85
Pianese29%fair 3.50 · @3.60
2.21Expected goals
1.24Livorno xG
0.97Pianese xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Livorno 1.2 – 1.0 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Livorno
Pianese
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
+8%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.16
0.90
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livorno to win✗
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Livorno or draw✗
71%
1.40
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Livorno (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Pianese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Livorno to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livorno / FT Livorno✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
Livorno
No recent results on record.
Pianese
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livorno and Pianese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Livorno vs Pianese?
On our numbers Livorno have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Pianese 29%.
How many goals will there be in Livorno vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livorno vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Livorno 1–0 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Livorno vs Pianese?
Livorno vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Armando Picchi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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