Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPineto to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.88
Pineto vs Sambenedettese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sambenedettese travel to face Pineto on Sunday 29 March in the Serie C Girone B, with Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Pineto are 11th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Sambenedettese are 17th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Pineto, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pianese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sambenedettese, last 4: DWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ternana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pineto 1.2 xG, Sambenedettese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pineto 40%, draw 29%, Sambenedettese 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pineto 1–1 Sambenedettese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pineto40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.90
Sambenedettese31%fair 3.20 · @3.10
2.19Expected goals
1.16Pineto xG
1.03Sambenedettese xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Pineto 1.2 – 1.0 Sambenedettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pineto
Sambenedettese
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
-30%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.11
1.03
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pineto to win✗
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Pineto (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Sambenedettese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Pineto to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pineto / FT Pineto✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.88
–
Recent results
Pineto – last 4
LWLL
8 Mar
@ Pianese
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Forli
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ Livorno
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Ternana
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sambenedettese – last 4
DWLL
20 Mar
@ Ternana
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Ascoli
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Torres
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pineto and Sambenedettese.
What is the prediction for Pineto vs Sambenedettese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Pineto vs Sambenedettese?
On our numbers Pineto have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sambenedettese 31%.
How many goals will there be in Pineto vs Sambenedettese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pineto vs Sambenedettese?
Our predicted score is Pineto 1–1 Sambenedettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Pineto vs Sambenedettese?
Pineto vs Sambenedettese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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