Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Pianese to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultForli to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.91
Forli vs Pianese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Serie C Girone B brings Forli against Pianese at Stadio Tullo Morgagni. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Forli are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Pianese are 16th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Forli, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Juventus U23, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Pianese, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pineto, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pianese, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.6 for Forli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forli 1.2 xG, Pianese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forli 40%, draw 29%, Pianese 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Pianese to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forli 1–1 Pianese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forli40%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @3.00
Pianese32%fair 3.17 · @3.45
2.22Expected goals
1.16Forli xG
1.06Pianese xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Forli 1.2 – 1.1 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Forli
Pianese
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
-6%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.00
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forli to win✗
40%
2.53
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Forli (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Pianese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Forli to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forli / FT Forli✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.91
–
Recent results
Forli – last 5
DDLLD
15 Mar
vs Juventus U23
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Livorno
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Pineto
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ Ternana
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Pianese – last 5
WDDDW
8 Mar
vs Pineto
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Ravenna
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Bra
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Livorno
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Forli and Pianese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Forli vs Pianese?
On our numbers Forli have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Pianese 32%.
How many goals will there be in Forli vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forli vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Forli 1–1 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Forli vs Pianese?
Forli vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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