Crotone vs Salernitana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Crotone v Salernitana in the Serie C Girone C, played at Stadio Ezio Scida. In the table, Crotone are 20th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 13 matches; Salernitana are 14th (lower half) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Crotone, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Trapani 1905, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Salernitana, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Latina, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Crotone, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Salernitana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crotone 1.2 xG, Salernitana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crotone 40%, draw 29%, Salernitana 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crotone 1–1 Salernitana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crotone40%fair 2.50 · @2.05
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.80
Salernitana31%fair 3.19 · @3.40
2.31Expected goals
1.18Crotone xG
1.13Salernitana xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Crotone 1.2 – 1.1 Salernitana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crotone to win✗
40%
2.50
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Crotone (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Salernitana +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Crotone to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crotone / FT Crotone✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.78
–
Recent results
Crotone – last 4
WWDW
8 Mar
@ Trapani 1905
4–1
W
5 Mar
vs Cavese
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ SS Monopoli
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Foggia
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Salernitana – last 4
WLDL
8 Mar
vs Latina
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Casertana
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Catania
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs SS Monopoli
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crotone and Salernitana.
What is the prediction for Crotone vs Salernitana?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Crotone vs Salernitana?
On our numbers Crotone have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Salernitana 31%.
How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Salernitana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Salernitana?
Our predicted score is Crotone 1–1 Salernitana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Crotone vs Salernitana?
Crotone vs Salernitana (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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