Casertana vs SS Monopoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Casertana welcome SS Monopoli to Stadio Alberto Pinto for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Sunday 15 March (17:30 WAT). In the table, Casertana are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; SS Monopoli are 6th (upper half) with 20. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Casertana, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Catania, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
SS Monopoli, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Casarano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Casertana 1.1 xG, SS Monopoli 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Casertana 39%, draw 30%, SS Monopoli 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Casertana 1–1 SS Monopoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Casertana39%fair 2.58 · @2.10
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @2.90
SS Monopoli31%fair 3.21 · @3.25
2.01Expected goals
1.05Casertana xG
0.96SS Monopoli xG
53%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Casertana 1.1 – 1.0 SS Monopoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casertana to win✓
39%
2.58
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Casertana (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
SS Monopoli +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Casertana to score first
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
14.07
–
Recent results
Casertana – last 3
DWL
9 Mar
@ Catania
0–0
D
5 Mar
vs Salernitana
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Siracusa
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SS Monopoli – last 4
WLDW
9 Mar
vs Casarano
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Giugliano
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Crotone
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Salernitana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casertana and SS Monopoli.
What is the prediction for Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
On our numbers Casertana have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and SS Monopoli 31%.
How many goals will there be in Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
Our predicted score is Casertana 1–1 SS Monopoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
Casertana vs SS Monopoli (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Pinto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.