Benevento vs Foggia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Foggia travel to face Benevento on Sunday 15 March in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Ciro Vigorito the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Benevento, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sorrento, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Foggia, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Potenza, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Benevento, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Foggia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benevento 1.8 xG, Foggia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benevento 66%, draw 20%, Foggia 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benevento 1–1 Foggia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benevento66%fair 1.51 · @1.18
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @5.00
Foggia14%fair 7.35 · @15.00
2.56Expected goals
1.81Benevento xG
0.75Foggia xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.8 – 0.8 Foggia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✓
66%
1.51
1.18
Double chance
Benevento or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Benevento (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Benevento -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Benevento to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Benevento ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Benevento – last 4
WWWD
8 Mar
@ Sorrento
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Catania
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Potenza
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Team Altamura
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Foggia – last 3
LLL
8 Mar
vs Potenza
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Team Altamura
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Crotone
1–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Foggia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Benevento vs Foggia?
On our numbers Benevento have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Foggia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Foggia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Foggia?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–1 Foggia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Foggia?
Benevento vs Foggia (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Trapani 19051