Leones Negros v Cimarrones Prediction & Expected Goals (7 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCimarrones to win44% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.30

Leones Negros vs Cimarrones: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leones Negros welcome Cimarrones to Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 7 March (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Cimarrones, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Los Cabos United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leones Negros 1.3 xG, Cimarrones 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Leones Negros 35%, draw 21%, Cimarrones 44%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Leones Negros to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones Negros 1–1 Cimarrones. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leones Negros35%fair 2.85 · @3.10

Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50

Cimarrones44%fair 2.28 · @2.00

2.75Expected goals

1.28Leones Negros xG

1.47Cimarrones xG

60%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Leones Negros 1.3 – 1.5 Cimarrones expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Cimarrones to win	44%	2.28	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win	79%	1.27	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	60%	1.67	1.53
Draw no bet	Cimarrones (draw no bet)	56%	1.80	–
Asian handicap	Leones Negros +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.30	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.84	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	67%	1.49	1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	86%	1.17	–
First team to score	Cimarrones to score first	50%	2.00	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Cimarrones / FT Cimarrones	25%	4.07	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	9%	11.30	–

Leones Negros – last 1

17 Feb

@ Durango

0–1

0.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Cimarrones – last 3

WDW

28 Feb	vs Los Cabos United	2–0	W
22 Feb	@ Tigres de Alica	1–1	D
13 Feb	vs Tritons Vallarta	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leones Negros vs Cimarrones?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Leones Negros vs Cimarrones?

On our numbers Leones Negros have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cimarrones 44%.

How many goals will there be in Leones Negros vs Cimarrones?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leones Negros vs Cimarrones?

Our predicted score is Leones Negros 1–1 Cimarrones, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Leones Negros vs Cimarrones?

Leones Negros vs Cimarrones (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Leones Negros v Cimarrones: numbers & prediction

Leones Negros

Cimarrones

Over 1.5 goals