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Ciervos v Gavilanes FC Matamoros: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio Arreola

Gavilanes FC Matamoros

WLW

Ciervos 14%Draw 20%Gavilanes FC Matamoros 66% Expected goals 0.63 – 1.78

66%

Betarazi pick

Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating

1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultGavilanes FC Matamoros to win66% · @1.50

Double chanceGavilanes FC Matamoros or draw86% · @1.10

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.77

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.29

Ciervos vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 March the Liga Premier Serie A brings Ciervos against Gavilanes FC Matamoros at Estadio Arreola. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT.

Current form

Gavilanes FC Matamoros, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lobos ULMX, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ciervos 0.6 xG, Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ciervos 14%, draw 20%, Gavilanes FC Matamoros 66%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciervos 0–1 Gavilanes FC Matamoros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ciervos14%fair 7.19 · @5.50

Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.70

Gavilanes FC Matamoros66%fair 1.51 · @1.50

2.42Expected goals

0.63Ciervos xG

1.78Gavilanes FC Matamoros xG

44%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%

0–214%

1–110%

1–29%

0–09%

0–38%

From our goals model: Ciervos 0.6 – 1.8 Gavilanes FC Matamoros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win	66%	1.51	1.50
Double chance	Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw	86%	1.16	1.10
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	56%	1.77	–
Draw no bet	Gavilanes FC Matamoros (draw no bet)	83%	1.21	–
Asian handicap	Gavilanes FC Matamoros -0.5 (Asian handicap)	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.44	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	55%	1.81	1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Gavilanes FC Matamoros to score first	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Gavilanes FC Matamoros ahead at half-time	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gavilanes FC Matamoros / FT Gavilanes FC Matamoros	41%	2.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1	16%	6.29	–

Recent results

Ciervos – last 1

22 Feb

@ Calor de San Pedro

1–3

1.0Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Gavilanes FC Matamoros – last 3

WLW

1 Mar	vs Lobos ULMX	1–0	W
21 Feb	@ Correcaminos UAT II	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Real Apodaca	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ciervos and Gavilanes FC Matamoros.

Ciervos vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Santiago	11	7	1	3	+20	24
2	Acatlan	11	7	1	3	+5	23
3	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	11	7	0	4	+18	22
4	Mineros de Fresnillo	11	6	3	2	+11	22
5	Correcaminos UAT II	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Vaqueros Reynosa	11	5	2	4	+1	18
7	Guerreros	10	4	2	4	0	15
8	Atlético Saltillo	10	4	0	6	-7	11
9	Real Apodaca	11	3	1	7	-7	9
10	Héroes de Zaci	10	0	1	9	-26	2
1	Dragones de Oaxaca	11	7	2	2	+16	25
2	Artesanos Metepec	11	7	3	1	+14	25
3	Acambaro	11	7	1	3	+17	23
4	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	11	5	3	3	+4	19
5	Halcones Negros	11	5	1	5	+4	17
6	Guerreros del Pacifico	11	4	1	6	+1	17
7	Calor de San Pedro	11	4	1	6	-7	16
8	Real Refineros	11	5	1	5	-5	15
9	Ciervos	11	2	0	9	-27	5
10	Cañoneros Marina	10	0	0	10	-36	0

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

League hub

–

Leones Negros

Cimarrones 135%3.10X21%3.50244%2.00 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20

–

Correcaminos UAT II

Sporting Canamy 166%1.55X20%3.80214%5.20 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22

–

Deportivo Zap

Lobos ULMX 150%1.85X26%3.30224%3.85 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25

–

Cordobés

Real Apodaca 125%3.95X27%3.40249%1.80 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28

–

Mexicali FC

Cañoneros Marina 162%1.95X17%3.50221%3.25 1.9–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20

–

Chapulineros

Héroes de Zaci 148%2.10X23%3.50228%2.90 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20

Colima4

Ensenada1 137%2.35X19%4.00244%2.35 1.5–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.42 ✓

Tritons Vallarta1

Tecos0 144%2.05X25%3.70232%2.95 1.6–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ciervos vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

Our pick is Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ciervos vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

On our numbers Ciervos have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gavilanes FC Matamoros 66%.

How many goals will there be in Ciervos vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ciervos vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

Our predicted score is Ciervos 0–1 Gavilanes FC Matamoros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ciervos vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

Ciervos vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arreola.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.