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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Zap v Lobos ULMX: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio Unidad Deportiva Hermanos López Rayón
Sat 7 Mar 2026
Deportivo Zap 50%Draw 26%Lobos ULMX 24% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.02
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Zap to win50% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Zap or draw76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.97

Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Deportivo Zap v Lobos ULMX in the Liga Premier Serie A, played at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Hermanos López Rayón.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Zap 1.5 xG, Lobos ULMX 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Zap 50%, draw 26%, Lobos ULMX 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Zap or draw (76%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Zap 1–1 Lobos ULMX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Zap50%fair 1.99 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.30
Lobos ULMX24%fair 4.23 · @3.85
2.48Expected goals
1.46Deportivo Zap xG
1.02Lobos ULMX xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Deportivo Zap 1.5 – 1.0 Lobos ULMX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Zap to win50%1.991.85
Double chanceDeportivo Zap or draw76%1.311.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.731.85 ▲
Draw no betDeportivo Zap (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapLobos ULMX +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.431.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.12–
First team to scoreDeportivo Zap to score first54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Zap / FT Deportivo Zap28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.97–

Recent results

Deportivo Zap – last 1

L
14 Feb@ FC Santiago1–3L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Lobos ULMX – last 2

LD
1 Mar@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros0–1L
22 Febvs Real Apodaca0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Zap and Lobos ULMX.

Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX head-to-head page →

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?

On our numbers Deportivo Zap have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lobos ULMX 24%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Zap 1–1 Lobos ULMX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?

Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Hermanos López Rayón.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.