Bendel Insurance 58%Draw 15%Ikorodu City 27%Expected goals 1.80 – 0.91
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · Won ✓
8/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultBendel Insurance to win ✓58% · fair 1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 15.45
Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ikorodu City travel to face Bendel Insurance on Sunday 1 March in the NPFL, with Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bendel Insurance are 7th, upper half, on 53 points after 37 matches; Ikorodu City are 4th (among the top four) with 58.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bendel Insurance 1.8 xG, Ikorodu City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bendel Insurance 58%, draw 15%, Ikorodu City 27%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bendel Insurance 1–1 Ikorodu City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bendel Insurance58%fair 1.73
Draw15%fair 6.49
Ikorodu City27%fair 3.74
2.71Expected goals
1.80Bendel Insurance xG
0.91Ikorodu City xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bendel Insurance 1.8 – 0.9 Ikorodu City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bendel Insurance
Ikorodu City
Attack vs NPFL average
+36%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+11%
Our expected goals here
2.47
0.96
Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bendel Insurance to win✓
58%
1.73
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Bendel Insurance (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Ikorodu City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Bendel Insurance to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Bendel Insurance ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bendel Insurance / FT Bendel Insurance✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
15.45
–
Recent results
Bendel Insurance – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Nasarawa United
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Bayelsa United
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ikorodu City – last 2
DW
22 Feb
vs Bayelsa United
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Enyimba
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bendel Insurance and Ikorodu City.
What is the prediction for Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance.
Who will win Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?
On our numbers Bendel Insurance have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ikorodu City 27%.
How many goals will there be in Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?
Our predicted score is Bendel Insurance 1–1 Ikorodu City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?
Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
