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Lokomotiv Plovdiv v CSKA 1948: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 27%Draw 27%CSKA 1948 46% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.41
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA 1948 to win ✓46% · @2.15
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSKA 1948 travel to face Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Thursday 5 March in the First League, with Stadion Lokomotiv the venue – the ball rolls at 14:45 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; CSKA 1948 are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ludogorets, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.9 xG, CSKA 1948 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 27%, draw 27%, CSKA 1948 46%.
  • Lower-risk option: CSKA 1948 or draw (73%) at 1.33.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 CSKA 1948. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Plovdiv27%fair 3.71 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.10
CSKA 194846%fair 2.17 · @2.15
2.36Expected goals
0.95Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.41CSKA 1948 xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
0–09%
1–29%
1–09%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.9 – 1.4 CSKA 1948 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA 1948 to win ✓46%2.172.15
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw ✓73%1.371.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.80
Draw no betCSKA 1948 (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapLokomotiv Plovdiv +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
First team to scoreCSKA 1948 to score first ✓54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA 1948 / FT CSKA 1948 ✓28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.19–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 3

DDD
2 Mar@ Ludogorets1–1D
21 Febvs Spartak Varna1–1D
15 Febvs Cherno More Varna1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

CSKA 1948 – last 2

WL
27 Feb@ Slavia Sofia2–0W
22 Febvs Levski Sofia1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and CSKA 1948.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CSKA 1948 46%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 CSKA 1948, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 (First League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.