Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dobrudzha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 March the First League brings Lokomotiv Sofia against Dobrudzha at Stadion Lokomotiv. Kick-off: 12:15 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.8 xG, Dobrudzha 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 59%, draw 23%, Dobrudzha 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Dobrudzha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Sofia59%fair 1.71 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
Dobrudzha18%fair 5.41 · @4.60
2.74Expected goals
1.79Lokomotiv Sofia xG
0.94Dobrudzha xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.8 – 0.9 Dobrudzha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✓
59%
1.71
1.70
Double chance
Lokomotiv Sofia or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Dobrudzha +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv Sofia to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Lokomotiv Sofia ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 2
LD
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dobrudzha – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Sofia and Dobrudzha.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dobrudzha 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Dobrudzha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dobrudzha (First League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
