Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ludogorets welcome Levski Sofia to Huvepharma Arena for a First League fixture on Thursday 5 March (17:30 WAT). In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Levski Sofia are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ludogorets, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv Plovdiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Levski Sofia, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Lokomotiv Sofia, at home. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Levski Sofia, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.4 for Ludogorets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.4 xG, Levski Sofia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 40%, draw 27%, Levski Sofia 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–1 Levski Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ludogorets40%fair 2.47 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.10
Levski Sofia32%fair 3.08 · @3.00
2.58Expected goals
1.37Ludogorets xG
1.21Levski Sofia xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.4 – 1.2 Levski Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✓
40%
2.47
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
Ludogorets (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Levski Sofia +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Ludogorets to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Ludogorets – last 5
DLLWW
2 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Ferencvarosi TC
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Beroe
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Levski Sofia – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
4–3
W
22 Feb
@ CSKA 1948
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
3–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and Levski Sofia.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Levski Sofia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–1 Levski Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia (First League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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