Levski Sofia 67%Draw 22%Cherno More Varna 11%Expected goals 1.83 – 0.58
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultLevski Sofia to win67% · @1.40
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.11
Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cherno More Varna travel to face Levski Sofia on Saturday 21 March in the First League, with Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Levski Sofia are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 13 matches; Cherno More Varna are 9th (lower half) with 13. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Levski Sofia, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Beroe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cherno More Varna, last 4: WDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Montana, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Levski Sofia, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Cherno More Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Levski Sofia 1.8 xG, Cherno More Varna 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Levski Sofia 67%, draw 22%, Cherno More Varna 11%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levski Sofia 1–0 Cherno More Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Levski Sofia67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.75
Cherno More Varna11%fair 8.80 · @8.25
2.41Expected goals
1.83Levski Sofia xG
0.58Cherno More Varna xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 1.8 – 0.6 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win
67%
1.50
1.40
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw
89%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.53
Draw no bet
Levski Sofia (draw no bet)
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Levski Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Levski Sofia to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Levski Sofia ahead at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.11
–
Recent results
Levski Sofia – last 6
WWLWWW
15 Mar
@ Beroe
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Ludogorets
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
4–3
W
22 Feb
@ CSKA 1948
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cherno More Varna – last 4
WDDD
15 Mar
vs Montana
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Cherno More Varna.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cherno More Varna 11%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1–0 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
