CSKA 1948 64%Draw 20%Lokomotiv Sofia 16%Expected goals 2.22 – 0.87
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: CSKA 1948 to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCSKA 1948 to win64% · @1.70
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.25
CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Sofia travel to face CSKA 1948 on Saturday 21 March in the First League, with Stadion Vitosha the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, CSKA 1948 are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CSKA 1948, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Spartak Varna, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Septemvri Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours CSKA 1948, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Lokomotiv Sofia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA 1948 2.2 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA 1948 64%, draw 20%, Lokomotiv Sofia 16%.
Lower-risk option: CSKA 1948 or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: CSKA 1948 to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA 1948 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA 194864%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.55
Lokomotiv Sofia16%fair 6.42 · @4.20
3.09Expected goals
2.22CSKA 1948 xG
0.87Lokomotiv Sofia xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: CSKA 1948 2.2 – 0.9 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA 1948 to win
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Double chance
CSKA 1948 or draw
84%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.70
Draw no bet
CSKA 1948 (draw no bet)
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
CSKA 1948 -0.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
CSKA 1948 to score first
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
CSKA 1948 ahead at half-time
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA 1948 / FT CSKA 1948
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
CSKA 1948 – last 5
WDWWL
14 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5–0
W
27 Feb
@ Slavia Sofia
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Levski Sofia
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
WDLWLD
17 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
3–0
W
13 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA 1948 and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers CSKA 1948 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lokomotiv Sofia 16%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is CSKA 1948 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Vitosha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
