Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Lokomotiv Sofia v Beroe in the First League, played at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Current form
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lokomotiv Plovdiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Beroe, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Montana, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.7 xG, Beroe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 57%, draw 25%, Beroe 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Beroe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Sofia57%fair 1.75 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.60
Beroe18%fair 5.52 · @5.75
2.71Expected goals
1.70Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.01Beroe xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.7 – 1.0 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✓
57%
1.75
1.53
Double chance
Lokomotiv Sofia or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Beroe +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv Sofia to score first✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
LWDLWL
3 Apr
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
3–0
W
13 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Beroe – last 6
WLLLDD
22 Mar
@ Montana
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Levski Sofia
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Dobrudzha
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Sofia and Beroe.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Beroe 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe (First League) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
