Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLudogorets to win ✗68% · @1.30
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ludogorets welcome Cherno More Varna to Huvepharma Arena for a First League fixture on Thursday 9 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Cherno More Varna are 9th (lower half) with 13. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ludogorets, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over CSKA 1948, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cherno More Varna, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Slavia Sofia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Cherno More Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 2.0 xG, Cherno More Varna 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 68%, draw 21%, Cherno More Varna 11%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 2–0 Cherno More Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ludogorets68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.33
Cherno More Varna11%fair 8.87 · @9.75
2.68Expected goals
2.01Ludogorets xG
0.67Cherno More Varna xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 2.0 – 0.7 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Ludogorets (draw no bet)
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Ludogorets -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Ludogorets to score first✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Ludogorets ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Ludogorets – last 6
WWWWDL
5 Apr
vs CSKA 1948
3–0
W
19 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
5–1
W
9 Mar
@ Montana
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Levski Sofia
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cherno More Varna – last 5
LWDDD
5 Apr
vs Slavia Sofia
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Montana
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and Cherno More Varna.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cherno More Varna 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 2–0 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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