Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Levski Sofia v Arda Kardzhali in the First League, played at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov. In the table, Levski Sofia are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 13 matches; Arda Kardzhali are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Levski Sofia, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dobrudzha, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Montana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Levski Sofia 2.0 xG, Arda Kardzhali 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Levski Sofia 68%, draw 22%, Arda Kardzhali 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levski Sofia 1–0 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Levski Sofia68%fair 1.48 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.10
Arda Kardzhali10%fair 10.00 · @9.50
2.60Expected goals
1.95Levski Sofia xG
0.65Arda Kardzhali xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 2.0 – 0.7 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Levski Sofia (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Levski Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Levski Sofia to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Levski Sofia ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Levski Sofia – last 6
DWWLWW
5 Apr
@ Dobrudzha
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Beroe
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Ludogorets
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
4–3
W
22 Feb
@ CSKA 1948
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arda Kardzhali – last 6
WWWDWD
4 Apr
vs Montana
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Septemvri Sofia
4–1
W
16 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Spartak Varna
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Beroe
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Arda Kardzhali.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arda Kardzhali 10%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1–0 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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