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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alcoyano v Torrent: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Estadio El Collao
4–1
FT
Alcoyano 56%Draw 26%Torrent 17% Expected goals 1.48 – 0.79
56%
Betarazi pick

Alcoyano to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlcoyano to win ✓56% · @1.65
Double chanceAlcoyano or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16

Alcoyano vs Torrent: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alcoyano welcome Torrent to Estadio El Collao for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 29 March (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Alcoyano, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Girona II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Torrent, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Porreres, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alcoyano 1.5 xG, Torrent 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alcoyano 56%, draw 26%, Torrent 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Alcoyano to win (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcoyano 1–0 Torrent. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alcoyano56%fair 1.77 · @1.65
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Torrent17%fair 5.77 · @5.50
2.28Expected goals
1.48Alcoyano xG
0.79Torrent xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.5 – 0.8 Torrent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AlcoyanoTorrent
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average-2%-3%
Goals conceded vs average-18%+7%
Our expected goals here1.540.98

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlcoyano to win ✓56%1.771.65
Double chanceAlcoyano or draw ✓83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.982.30 ▲
Draw no betAlcoyano (draw no bet) ✓77%1.31–
Asian handicapTorrent +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scoreAlcoyano to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano ✓32%3.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.16–

Recent results

Alcoyano – last 5

WDWWD
22 Mar@ Girona II1–0W
15 Marvs Espanyol II1–1D
8 Mar@ Reddis1–0W
1 Marvs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1–0W
15 Febvs Atlético Baleares0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Torrent – last 4

WLWD
8 Marvs Porreres1–0W
1 Marvs Terrassa0–1L
22 Feb@ Espanyol II2–1W
15 Febvs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Torrent.

Alcoyano vs Torrent head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alcoyano vs Torrent?

Our pick is Alcoyano to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Alcoyano vs Torrent?

On our numbers Alcoyano have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Torrent 17%.

How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Torrent?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Torrent?

Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–0 Torrent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Alcoyano vs Torrent?

Alcoyano vs Torrent (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.