Castellón II 58%Draw 20%Porreres 22%Expected goals 1.96 – 1.03
58%
Betarazi pick
Castellón II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultCastellón II to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Castellón II vs Porreres: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Castellón II against Porreres at Gaetà Huguet Campo B. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT.
Current form
Castellón II, last 4: LDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sant Andreu, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Porreres, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Olot, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellón II 2.0 xG, Porreres 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellón II 58%, draw 20%, Porreres 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Castellón II to win (58%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellón II 2–1 Porreres. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellón II58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.50
Porreres22%fair 4.55 · @3.45
3.00Expected goals
1.96Castellón II xG
1.03Porreres xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Castellón II 2.0 – 1.0 Porreres expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Castellón II
Porreres
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average
+37%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+8%
Our expected goals here
2.17
1.04
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón II to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Castellón II (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Porreres +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Castellón II to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Castellón II ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón II / FT Castellón II✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Castellón II – last 4
LDDW
14 Mar
vs Sant Andreu
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Andratx
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Barcelona B
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Terrassa
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Porreres – last 6
WLLLWL
22 Mar
vs Olot
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Terrassa
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Torrent
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Espanyol II
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Andratx
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Girona II
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón II and Porreres.
What is the prediction for Castellón II vs Porreres?
Our pick is Castellón II to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Castellón II vs Porreres?
On our numbers Castellón II have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Porreres 22%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón II vs Porreres?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón II vs Porreres?
Our predicted score is Castellón II 2–1 Porreres, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Castellón II vs Porreres?
Castellón II vs Porreres (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Gaetà Huguet Campo B.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.