Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlcoyano to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Atlètic Lleida v Alcoyano in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, played at Camp d'Esports de Lleida.
Current form
Atlètic Lleida, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Reddis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Alcoyano, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Torrent, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alcoyano, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Atlètic Lleida.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlètic Lleida 1.0 xG, Alcoyano 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlètic Lleida 29%, draw 28%, Alcoyano 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlètic Lleida 1–1 Alcoyano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlètic Lleida29%fair 3.40 · @3.10
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.85
Alcoyano42%fair 2.37 · @2.25
2.21Expected goals
0.99Atlètic Lleida xG
1.22Alcoyano xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atlètic Lleida 1.0 – 1.2 Alcoyano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlètic Lleida
Alcoyano
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average
-12%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.07
1.27
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✓
42%
2.37
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Alcoyano (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Atlètic Lleida +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Alcoyano to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.45
–
Recent results
Atlètic Lleida – last 6
WDLLLD
29 Mar
@ Reddis
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Valencia II
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Atlético Baleares
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Poblense
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Sant Andreu
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Barbastro
3–3
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alcoyano – last 6
WWDWWD
29 Mar
vs Torrent
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Girona II
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Espanyol II
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Reddis
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Atlético Baleares
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlètic Lleida and Alcoyano.
What is the prediction for Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?
On our numbers Atlètic Lleida have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Alcoyano 42%.
How many goals will there be in Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?
Our predicted score is Atlètic Lleida 1–1 Alcoyano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?
Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Camp d'Esports de Lleida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Porreres1
Barcelona B5
Sant Andreu2
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1
Torrent2
Reddis2
Andratx5
Olot1
Barbastro0