Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSant Andreu to win ✓51% · @1.85
Double chanceSant Andreu or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Sant Andreu vs Poblense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sant Andreu welcome Poblense to Camp Municipal Narcís Sala for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 5 April (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Sant Andreu, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlético Baleares, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Poblense, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Andratx, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sant Andreu, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Poblense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sant Andreu 1.4 xG, Poblense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sant Andreu 51%, draw 27%, Poblense 22%.
Lower-risk option: Sant Andreu or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sant Andreu or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sant Andreu 1–0 Poblense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sant Andreu51%fair 1.97 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.00
Poblense22%fair 4.48 · @4.00
2.22Expected goals
1.39Sant Andreu xG
0.83Poblense xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Sant Andreu 1.4 – 0.8 Poblense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sant Andreu
Poblense
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average
+5%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.87
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sant Andreu to win✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Double chance
Sant Andreu or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Sant Andreu (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Poblense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sant Andreu to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sant Andreu / FT Sant Andreu✓
29%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Sant Andreu – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Mar
vs Atlético Baleares
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Castellón II
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Espanyol II
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Atlètic Lleida
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Andratx
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Poblense – last 6
DDLWDD
29 Mar
vs Andratx
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Espanyol II
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Reddis
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Atlètic Lleida
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Atlético Baleares
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Valencia II
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sant Andreu and Poblense.
What is the prediction for Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
Our pick is Sant Andreu or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
On our numbers Sant Andreu have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Poblense 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
Our predicted score is Sant Andreu 1–0 Poblense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
Sant Andreu vs Poblense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Camp Municipal Narcís Sala.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlètic Lleida1
Porreres1
Barcelona B5
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1
Torrent2
Reddis2
Andratx5
Olot1
Barbastro0