Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Barbastro vs Castellón II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Barbastro against Castellón II at Estadio Municipal de Deportes. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Barbastro, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Torrent, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Castellón II, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olot, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barbastro, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Castellón II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barbastro 1.7 xG, Castellón II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barbastro 51%, draw 24%, Castellón II 24%.
Lower-risk option: Barbastro or draw (76%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barbastro 2–1 Castellón II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barbastro51%fair 1.94 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
Castellón II24%fair 4.13 · @3.80
2.88Expected goals
1.66Barbastro xG
1.21Castellón II xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Barbastro 1.7 – 1.2 Castellón II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barbastro
Castellón II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average
+6%
+37%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.58
1.37
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barbastro to win✓
51%
1.94
1.80
Double chance
Barbastro or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Barbastro (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Castellón II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Barbastro to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barbastro / FT Barbastro✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Barbastro – last 6
WWLDWW
19 Apr
@ Torrent
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Porreres
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Olot
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Espanyol II
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Andratx
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Castellón II – last 6
DLLLDD
12 Apr
vs Olot
1–1
D
1 Apr
@ Torrent
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Porreres
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Sant Andreu
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Andratx
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Barcelona B
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbastro and Castellón II.
What is the prediction for Barbastro vs Castellón II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Barbastro vs Castellón II?
On our numbers Barbastro have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Castellón II 24%.
How many goals will there be in Barbastro vs Castellón II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbastro vs Castellón II?
Our predicted score is Barbastro 2–1 Castellón II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Barbastro vs Castellón II?
Barbastro vs Castellón II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Deportes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.