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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barbastro v Castellón II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Deportes
3–1
FT
Barbastro 51%Draw 24%Castellón II 24% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.21
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarbastro to win ✓51% · @1.80
Double chanceBarbastro or draw ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Barbastro vs Castellón II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Barbastro against Castellón II at Estadio Municipal de Deportes. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Barbastro, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Torrent, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Castellón II, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olot, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Barbastro, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Castellón II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barbastro 1.7 xG, Castellón II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barbastro 51%, draw 24%, Castellón II 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Barbastro or draw (76%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barbastro 2–1 Castellón II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barbastro51%fair 1.94 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
Castellón II24%fair 4.13 · @3.80
2.88Expected goals
1.66Barbastro xG
1.21Castellón II xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Barbastro 1.7 – 1.2 Castellón II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BarbastroCastellón II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average+6%+37%
Goals conceded vs average-18%+1%
Our expected goals here1.581.37

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarbastro to win ✓51%1.941.80
Double chanceBarbastro or draw ✓76%1.321.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betBarbastro (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapCastellón II +1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreBarbastro to score first ✓55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barbastro / FT Barbastro ✓29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Barbastro – last 6

WWLDWW
19 Apr@ Torrent2–1W
12 Aprvs Porreres2–0W
5 Apr@ Olot0–1L
29 Marvs Espanyol II0–0D
15 Marvs Andratx3–0W
8 Mar@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Castellón II – last 6

DLLLDD
12 Aprvs Olot1–1D
1 Apr@ Torrent0–1L
29 Marvs Porreres1–3L
14 Marvs Sant Andreu1–2L
8 Mar@ Andratx1–1D
25 Febvs Barcelona B2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barbastro and Castellón II.

Barbastro vs Castellón II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barbastro vs Castellón II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Barbastro vs Castellón II?

On our numbers Barbastro have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Castellón II 24%.

How many goals will there be in Barbastro vs Castellón II?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barbastro vs Castellón II?

Our predicted score is Barbastro 2–1 Castellón II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Barbastro vs Castellón II?

Barbastro vs Castellón II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Deportes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.