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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Poblense v Porreres: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla

Poblense

WWLDD
3–1
FT

Porreres

LLLWW
Poblense 59%Draw 24%Porreres 16% Expected goals 1.40 – 0.73
59%
Betarazi pick

Poblense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultPoblense to win ✓59% · @1.40
Double chancePoblense or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99

Poblense vs Porreres: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Poblense welcome Porreres to Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Poblense, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Terrassa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Porreres, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlético Baleares, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Poblense 1.4 xG, Porreres 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Poblense 59%, draw 24%, Porreres 16%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Poblense to win (59%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poblense 1–0 Porreres. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Poblense59%fair 1.69 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.80
Porreres16%fair 6.13 · @8.00
2.12Expected goals
1.40Poblense xG
0.73Porreres xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Poblense 1.4 – 0.7 Porreres expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

PoblensePorreres
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average-16%-16%
Goals conceded vs average-8%+8%
Our expected goals here1.330.95

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPoblense to win ✓59%1.691.40
Double chancePoblense or draw ✓84%1.191.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.55
Draw no betPoblense (draw no bet) ✓78%1.27–
Asian handicapPorreres +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scorePoblense to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Poblense / FT Poblense ✗31%3.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.99–

Recent results

Poblense – last 6

WWLDDL
19 Apr@ Terrassa3–2W
12 Aprvs Torrent2–1W
5 Apr@ Sant Andreu0–2L
29 Marvs Andratx0–0D
22 Mar@ Espanyol II0–0D
15 Marvs Reddis1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Porreres – last 6

LLLWWL
19 Aprvs Atlético Baleares0–1L
12 Apr@ Barbastro0–2L
5 Aprvs Barcelona B1–5L
29 Mar@ Castellón II3–1W
22 Marvs Olot2–1W
15 Marvs Terrassa0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Poblense and Porreres.

Poblense vs Porreres head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub
FT Alcoyano2 Sant Andreu0 150%1.73X27%3.10222%4.80 1.3–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.20 ✗
FT Atlético Baleares3 Terrassa1 159%1.55X23%3.40218%5.80 1.8–1.0xG 1Atlético Baleares to win 59%@1.55 ✓
FT Barbastro3 Castellón II1 151%1.80X24%3.40224%3.80 1.7–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.73 ✓
FT Girona II1 Torrent0 155%1.62X26%3.25219%5.50 1.7–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.05 ✗
FT Reddis1 Olot0 148%1.95X29%2.90223%3.80 1.3–0.9xG 1XReddis or draw 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Ibiza Islas Pitiusas2 Andratx2 158%1.44X23%4.00219%5.50 1.7–1.1xG 1Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to win 58%@1.44 ✗
FT Barcelona B2 Atlètic Lleida1 166%1.25X20%5.00214%9.50 1.9–0.9xG 1Barcelona B to win 66%@1.25 ✓
FT Valencia II3 Espanyol II0 148%1.95X27%3.00224%3.60 1.4–1.1xG 1XValencia II or draw 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Poblense vs Porreres?

Our pick is Poblense to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Poblense vs Porreres?

On our numbers Poblense have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Porreres 16%.

How many goals will there be in Poblense vs Porreres?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Poblense vs Porreres?

Our predicted score is Poblense 1–0 Porreres, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Poblense vs Porreres?

Poblense vs Porreres (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.