Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVado to win ✓56% · @1.65
Double chanceVado or draw ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.11
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Vado vs Valenzana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valenzana travel to face Vado on Sunday 22 March in the Serie D Girone A, with Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Vado, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ligorna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Valenzana, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Club Milano, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vado 1.6 xG, Valenzana 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vado 56%, draw 24%, Valenzana 21%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.11.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.11 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vado 1–0 Valenzana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vado56%fair 1.80 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Valenzana21%fair 4.84 · @4.95
2.57Expected goals
1.60Vado xG
0.97Valenzana xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vado 1.6 – 1.0 Valenzana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vado to win✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Double chance
Vado or draw✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.11 ▲
Draw no bet
Vado (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Valenzana +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Vado to score first
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vado / FT Vado✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Vado – last 4
DLDW
15 Mar
vs Ligorna
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Città di Varese
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sestri Levante
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Club Milano
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Valenzana – last 3
WLL
1 Mar
@ Club Milano
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs Saluzzo
1–4
L
15 Feb
@ Imperia
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vado and Valenzana.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vado vs Valenzana?
On our numbers Vado have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valenzana 21%.
How many goals will there be in Vado vs Valenzana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vado vs Valenzana?
Our predicted score is Vado 1–0 Valenzana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vado vs Valenzana?
Vado vs Valenzana (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Milano2
NovaRomentin0
Città di Varese2
Cairese1
Lavagnese1