Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultDerthona to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.44
Derthona vs Asti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Asti travel to face Derthona on Sunday 22 March in the Serie D Girone A, with Stadio Fausto Coppi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Derthona are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Asti are 10th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Derthona, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cairese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Asti, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Città di Varese, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Asti, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Derthona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derthona 1.3 xG, Asti 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derthona 42%, draw 26%, Asti 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derthona 1–1 Asti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derthona42%fair 2.37 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10
Asti32%fair 3.14 · @3.20
2.42Expected goals
1.33Derthona xG
1.09Asti xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Derthona 1.3 – 1.1 Asti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derthona to win✗
42%
2.37
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Derthona (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Asti +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Derthona to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derthona / FT Derthona✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.44
–
Recent results
Derthona – last 4
LLWL
15 Mar
@ Cairese
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Biellese
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Lavagnese
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Chisola
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Asti – last 4
LWLW
15 Mar
vs Città di Varese
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Sanremese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Biellese
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs NovaRomentin
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derthona and Asti.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Derthona vs Asti?
On our numbers Derthona have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Asti 32%.
How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Asti?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Asti?
Our predicted score is Derthona 1–1 Asti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Derthona vs Asti?
Derthona vs Asti (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Fausto Coppi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Milano2
NovaRomentin0
Città di Varese2
Vado6
Cairese1
Lavagnese1