Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultLigorna to win ✓63% · @1.42
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.26
Ligorna vs Lavagnese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ligorna welcome Lavagnese to Campo Sportivo Ligorna for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 22 March (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Ligorna, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vado, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Lavagnese, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Imperia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 1.8 xG, Lavagnese 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 63%, draw 23%, Lavagnese 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ligorna to win (63%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 1–0 Lavagnese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ligorna63%fair 1.60 · @1.42
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.80
Lavagnese14%fair 7.16 · @6.25
2.56Expected goals
1.78Ligorna xG
0.78Lavagnese xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.8 – 0.8 Lavagnese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
63%
1.60
1.42
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Ligorna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.26
–
Recent results
Ligorna – last 4
DLWW
15 Mar
@ Vado
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Gozzano
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Club Milano
5–1
W
15 Feb
@ Città di Varese
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lavagnese – last 3
WLD
15 Mar
vs Imperia
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Derthona
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Saluzzo
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Lavagnese.
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Ligorna vs Lavagnese?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lavagnese 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Lavagnese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Lavagnese?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Lavagnese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Lavagnese?
Ligorna vs Lavagnese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Milano2
NovaRomentin0
Città di Varese2
Vado6
Cairese1