Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.54
Pavia vs Varesina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Varesina travel to face Pavia on Sunday 1 March in the Serie D Girone B, with Stadio Pietro Fortunati the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pavia 1.3 xG, Varesina 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pavia 38%, draw 26%, Varesina 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (74%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pavia 1–0 Varesina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pavia38%fair 2.61 · @2.35
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
Varesina35%fair 2.83 · @2.79
2.49Expected goals
1.27Pavia xG
1.23Varesina xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Pavia 1.3 – 1.2 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pavia to win✗
38%
2.61
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Pavia (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Varesina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pavia to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pavia / FT Pavia✗
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.54
–
Recent results
Pavia – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Sondrio
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Brusaporto
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Varesina – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pavia and Varesina.
On our numbers Pavia have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Varesina 35%.
How many goals will there be in Pavia vs Varesina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pavia vs Varesina?
Our predicted score is Pavia 1–0 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pavia vs Varesina?
Pavia vs Varesina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Fortunati.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0
Real Calepina2
Scanzorosciate3
Breno0
Leon Monza e Brianza1
Villa Valle2
USD Casatese1
Brusaporto1
Chievo1
Sondrio0
Castellanzese1
Vogherese0
Caldiero Terme2
Oltrepò4