Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Castellanzese vs Vogherese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Castellanzese welcome Vogherese to Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi for a Serie D Girone B fixture on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellanzese 2.0 xG, Vogherese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellanzese 61%, draw 21%, Vogherese 18%.
Lower-risk option: Castellanzese or draw (82%) at 1.13.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellanzese 2–0 Vogherese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellanzese61%fair 1.64 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Vogherese18%fair 5.49 · @4.30
2.95Expected goals
2.02Castellanzese xG
0.92Vogherese xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Castellanzese 2.0 – 0.9 Vogherese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellanzese to win✓
61%
1.64
1.68
Double chance
Castellanzese or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Castellanzese (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Castellanzese -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Castellanzese to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Castellanzese ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Castellanzese – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Brusaporto
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Villa Valle
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vogherese – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Villa Valle
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellanzese and Vogherese.
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Vogherese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Vogherese?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vogherese 18%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Vogherese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Vogherese?
Our predicted score is Castellanzese 2–0 Vogherese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Castellanzese vs Vogherese?
Castellanzese vs Vogherese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pavia1
Varesina1
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0
Real Calepina2
Scanzorosciate3
Breno0
Leon Monza e Brianza1
Villa Valle2
USD Casatese1
Brusaporto1
Chievo1
Sondrio0
Caldiero Terme2
Oltrepò4