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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo v Real Calepina: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone B · Italy · Stadio Carlo Rossoni
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 41%Draw 27%Real Calepina 32% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.12
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultVirtus Ciserano Bergamo to win ✗41% · @2.23
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.73

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo welcome Real Calepina to Stadio Carlo Rossoni for a Serie D Girone B fixture on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT). In the table, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Real Calepina are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1.3 xG, Real Calepina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 41%, draw 27%, Real Calepina 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1 Real Calepina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo41%fair 2.42 · @2.23
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.05
Real Calepina32%fair 3.12 · @2.88
2.45Expected goals
1.33Virtus Ciserano Bergamo xG
1.12Real Calepina xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1.3 – 1.1 Real Calepina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus Ciserano Bergamo to win ✗41%2.422.23
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betVirtus Ciserano Bergamo (draw no bet) ✗56%1.77–
Asian handicapReal Calepina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.26
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreVirtus Ciserano Bergamo to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus Ciserano Bergamo / FT Virtus Ciserano Bergamo ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.73–

Recent results

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo – last 2

DD
22 Feb@ Breno0–0D
15 Febvs Oltrepò0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Real Calepina – last 2

LL
22 Febvs Leon Monza e Brianza1–2L
15 Feb@ USD Casatese0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and Real Calepina.

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chievo11812+1625
2Nibbiano & Valtidone11812+925
3Milan II11722+623
4Piacenza11632+1021
5Leon11632+621
6Caldiero Terme11533+318
7Villa Valle11452+517
8Pavonese11443-116
9Scanzorosciate11353014
10Pro Palazzolo11425-514
11Real Calepina11344-413
12Virtus Verona11335-512
13Club Milano11326-411
14Rovato Vertovese11245-310
15Virtus Ciserano Bergamo11245-510
16Brusaporto11308-109
17Fiorenzuola11137-86
18Tritium11137-106

More Serie D Girone B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina?

On our numbers Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Calepina 32%.

How many goals will there be in Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina?

Our predicted score is Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1 Real Calepina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Rossoni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.