Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Villa Valle vs Pavia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Serie D Girone B brings Villa Valle against Pavia at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Villa Valle, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leon Monza e Brianza, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Pavia, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Varesina, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa Valle 1.5 xG, Pavia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Valle 54%, draw 25%, Pavia 20%.
Lower-risk option: Villa Valle or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Villa Valle to win (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Valle 1–0 Pavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa Valle54%fair 1.84 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Pavia20%fair 4.92 · @4.00
2.42Expected goals
1.54Villa Valle xG
0.89Pavia xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Villa Valle 1.5 – 0.9 Pavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Valle to win✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Double chance
Villa Valle or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Villa Valle (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Pavia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Villa Valle to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Valle / FT Villa Valle✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Recent results
Villa Valle – last 3
WWL
1 Mar
@ Leon Monza e Brianza
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Vogherese
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Castellanzese
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pavia – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
vs Varesina
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Sondrio
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Brusaporto
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Valle and Pavia.
Our pick is Villa Valle to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Pavia?
On our numbers Villa Valle have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pavia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Valle vs Pavia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Valle vs Pavia?
Our predicted score is Villa Valle 1–0 Pavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Villa Valle vs Pavia?
Villa Valle vs Pavia (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sondrio3
USD Casatese1
Oltrepò0