Value bet: Leon Monza e Brianza to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBrusaporto to win ✗43% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.86
Brusaporto vs Leon Monza e Brianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Brusaporto v Leon Monza e Brianza in the Serie D Girone B, played at Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto. In the table, Brusaporto are 16th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 11 matches; Leon Monza e Brianza are 5th (upper half) with 21. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Brusaporto, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with USD Casatese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Leon Monza e Brianza, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Villa Valle, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Leon Monza e Brianza, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Brusaporto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brusaporto 1.2 xG, Leon Monza e Brianza 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brusaporto 43%, draw 25%, Leon Monza e Brianza 32%.
Price worth noting: Leon Monza e Brianza to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brusaporto 1–1 Leon Monza e Brianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brusaporto43%fair 2.31 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Leon Monza e Brianza32%fair 3.16 · @3.80
2.48Expected goals
1.21Brusaporto xG
1.27Leon Monza e Brianza xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Brusaporto 1.2 – 1.3 Leon Monza e Brianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusaporto to win✗
43%
2.31
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Brusaporto (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Brusaporto +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Leon Monza e Brianza to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leon Monza e Brianza / FT Leon Monza e Brianza✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.86
–
Recent results
Brusaporto – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ USD Casatese
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Castellanzese
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Pavia
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leon Monza e Brianza – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
vs Villa Valle
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Real Calepina
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Sondrio
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brusaporto and Leon Monza e Brianza.
What is the prediction for Brusaporto vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Brusaporto vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
On our numbers Brusaporto have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leon Monza e Brianza 32%.
How many goals will there be in Brusaporto vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brusaporto vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Our predicted score is Brusaporto 1–1 Leon Monza e Brianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Brusaporto vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Brusaporto vs Leon Monza e Brianza (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pavia0
Sondrio3
USD Casatese1
Oltrepò0