Value bet: Milan II to win @ 2.60 – our chance 48% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMilan II to win ✓48% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.87
Oltrepò vs Milan II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oltrepò welcome Milan II to Stadio Comunale for a Serie D Girone B fixture on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oltrepò 1.0 xG, Milan II 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oltrepò 29%, draw 23%, Milan II 48%.
Price worth noting: Milan II to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oltrepò 0–1 Milan II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oltrepò29%fair 3.44 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.20
Milan II48%fair 2.08 · @2.60
2.74Expected goals
1.00Oltrepò xG
1.74Milan II xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Oltrepò 1.0 – 1.7 Milan II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Milan II to win✓
48%
2.08
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Milan II (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Oltrepò +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Milan II to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Milan II / FT Milan II✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
8.87
–
Recent results
Oltrepò – last 2
WD
1 Mar
@ Caldiero Terme
4–2
W
15 Feb
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Milan II – last 2
DW
1 Mar
vs Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Caldiero Terme
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oltrepò and Milan II.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Oltrepò vs Milan II?
On our numbers Oltrepò have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Milan II 48%.
How many goals will there be in Oltrepò vs Milan II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oltrepò vs Milan II?
Our predicted score is Oltrepò 0–1 Milan II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Oltrepò vs Milan II?
Oltrepò vs Milan II (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pavia0
Sondrio3
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