Double chanceUSD Casatese or draw ✗79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
USD Casatese vs Varesina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Varesina travel to face USD Casatese on Sunday 22 March in the Serie D Girone B, with Campo Sportivo Comunale the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Current form
USD Casatese, last 4: LDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sondrio, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Varesina, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Castellanzese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USD Casatese 1.6 xG, Varesina 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USD Casatese 53%, draw 26%, Varesina 21%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.94.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: USD Casatese 1–0 Varesina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USD Casatese53%fair 1.88 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.35
Varesina21%fair 4.81 · @4.24
2.53Expected goals
1.55USD Casatese xG
0.98Varesina xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: USD Casatese 1.6 – 1.0 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USD Casatese to win✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Double chance
USD Casatese or draw✗
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.94
Draw no bet
USD Casatese (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Varesina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
USD Casatese to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USD Casatese / FT USD Casatese✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
USD Casatese – last 4
LDDW
15 Mar
@ Sondrio
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Brusaporto
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Real Calepina
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Varesina – last 3
DDD
18 Mar
vs Castellanzese
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Pavia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USD Casatese and Varesina.
What is the prediction for USD Casatese vs Varesina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win USD Casatese vs Varesina?
On our numbers USD Casatese have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Varesina 21%.
How many goals will there be in USD Casatese vs Varesina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USD Casatese vs Varesina?
Our predicted score is USD Casatese 1–0 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is USD Casatese vs Varesina?
USD Casatese vs Varesina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.