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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caldiero Terme v Real Calepina: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone B · Italy · Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini

Caldiero Terme

DLLL
3–1
FT

Real Calepina

WWLL
Caldiero Terme 49%Draw 28%Real Calepina 23% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.01
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultCaldiero Terme to win ✓49% · @2.10
Double chanceCaldiero Terme or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.74

Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Caldiero Terme v Real Calepina in the Serie D Girone B, played at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini. In the table, Caldiero Terme are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Real Calepina are 11th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Caldiero Terme, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Breno, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Real Calepina, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chievo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Real Calepina, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Caldiero Terme.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caldiero Terme 1.7 xG, Real Calepina 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caldiero Terme 49%, draw 28%, Real Calepina 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Caldiero Terme or draw (77%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldiero Terme 1–1 Real Calepina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caldiero Terme49%fair 2.05 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.45
Real Calepina23%fair 4.36 · @4.20
2.69Expected goals
1.68Caldiero Terme xG
1.01Real Calepina xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Caldiero Terme 1.7 – 1.0 Real Calepina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaldiero Terme to win ✓49%2.052.10
Double chanceCaldiero Terme or draw ✓77%1.301.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.95–
Draw no betCaldiero Terme (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapReal Calepina +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreCaldiero Terme to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caldiero Terme / FT Caldiero Terme ✓32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.74–

Recent results

Caldiero Terme – last 4

DLLL
15 Mar@ Breno1–1D
1 Marvs Oltrepò2–4L
22 Febvs Milan II0–3L
15 Feb@ Scanzorosciate0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Calepina – last 4

WWLL
15 Marvs Chievo1–0W
1 Mar@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo2–0W
22 Febvs Leon Monza e Brianza1–2L
15 Feb@ USD Casatese0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Caldiero Terme and Real Calepina.

Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chievo11812+1625
2Nibbiano & Valtidone11812+925
3Milan II11722+623
4Piacenza11632+1021
5Leon11632+621
6Caldiero Terme11533+318
7Villa Valle11452+517
8Pavonese11443-116
9Scanzorosciate11353014
10Pro Palazzolo11425-514
11Real Calepina11344-413
12Virtus Verona11335-512
13Club Milano11326-411
14Rovato Vertovese11245-310
15Virtus Ciserano Bergamo11245-510
16Brusaporto11308-109
17Fiorenzuola11137-86
18Tritium11137-106

More Serie D Girone B predictions

League hub
FT Milan II2 Sondrio2 160%1.38X22%4.10217%6.50 1.9–1.1xG 1Milan II to win 60%@1.38 ✗
FT Virtus Ciserano Bergamo2 Brusaporto1 139%2.35X27%3.10234%2.70 1.2–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✗
FT USD Casatese0 Varesina1 153%1.80X26%3.35221%4.24 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.24 ✓
FT Leon Monza e Brianza3 Vogherese2 171%1.25X17%4.75212%10.00 2.3–0.8xG 1Leon Monza e Brianza to win 71%@1.25 ✓
FT Pavia1 Castellanzese0 133%2.80X27%3.20241%2.25 1.1–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 57%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina?

On our numbers Caldiero Terme have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Real Calepina 23%.

How many goals will there be in Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina?

Our predicted score is Caldiero Terme 1–1 Real Calepina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina?

Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.